Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MATIC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 8.302096e-05 1.042760e-04 0.000128 0.000155 0.000186 0.000221 0.000260
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 5.765168e-05 8.343419e-05 0.000114 0.000153 0.000200 0.000253 0.000319
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 4.156665e-05 6.796839e-05 0.000102 0.000147 0.000203 0.000270 0.000354
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 3.138217e-05 5.811823e-05 0.000095 0.000146 0.000212 0.000294 0.000398
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 2.415506e-05 5.039964e-05 0.000089 0.000144 0.000219 0.000313 0.000435
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 1.767376e-05 4.246908e-05 0.000081 0.000140 0.000222 0.000327 0.000466
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 1.281036e-05 3.578474e-05 0.000074 0.000136 0.000223 0.000338 0.000493
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 9.208697e-06 3.039616e-05 0.000069 0.000132 0.000226 0.000350 0.000522
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 5.993742e-06 2.452383e-05 0.000061 0.000125 0.000222 0.000354 0.000538
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 4.929735e-06 2.318763e-05 0.000061 0.000130 0.000235 0.000381 0.000585
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 4.132561e-06 2.221363e-05 0.000062 0.000135 0.000249 0.000408 0.000634
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 3.331268e-06 2.091508e-05 0.000062 0.000139 0.000261 0.000434 0.000680
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 1.478405e-06 1.570460e-05 0.000055 0.000134 0.000266 0.000456 0.000733
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 5.501705e-07 1.195714e-05 0.000049 0.000132 0.000273 0.000483 0.000794
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 1.125589e-07 8.562943e-06 0.000043 0.000126 0.000275 0.000501 0.000841
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 8.806122e-09 6.487560e-06 0.000040 0.000125 0.000284 0.000529 0.000903
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 4.875324e-06 0.000037 0.000124 0.000291 0.000555 0.000962
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 3.315625e-06 0.000033 0.000120 0.000294 0.000574 0.001011
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 2.156329e-06 0.000029 0.000116 0.000296 0.000591 0.001058
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 1.355478e-06 0.000026 0.000113 0.000299 0.000610 0.001107
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 6.732994e-07 0.000022 0.000106 0.000295 0.000618 0.001139
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 5.289105e-07 0.000022 0.000110 0.000312 0.000658 0.001222
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 4.277359e-07 0.000022 0.000115 0.000330 0.000702 0.001308